Search results for "FLOOD RISK"

Probabilistic Flood Hazard Mapping Using Bivariate Analysis Based on Copulas

2017

This study presents a methodology to extract probabilistic flood hazard maps in an area subject to flood risk, taking into account uncertainties in the definition of design hydrographs. Particularly, the authors present a new method to produce probabilistic inundation and flood hazard maps in which the hydrological input (i.e., synthetic flood design event) to a 2D hydraulic model has been obtained by using a bivariate statistical analysis (copulas) to generate flood peak discharges and volumes. This study also aims to quantify the contribution of boundary conditions’ uncertainty in order to evaluate the effect of this uncertainty source on probabilistic flood hazard mapping. Different comb…

NOVEL APPROACHES FOR FLOOD RISK ASSESSMENT USING EXPOSURE-VULNERABILITY MATRICES

L’approccio “classico” di difesa dall’inondazione, basato sulla costruzione di opere strutturali in grado di contenere piene di tempo di ritorno sempre maggiore, è stato sostituito da un approccio gestionale del rischio da inondazione, nel quale prende piede sempre più il concetto di “convivere” con la piena accettando un certo livello di inondazione. In quest’ottica, la vulnerabilità diventa la variabile chiave nell’equazione del rischio e gli interventi non strutturali lo strumento principale per mitigarlo: nonostante si creda nella loro efficacia, i metodi per stimarla sono pochi, così come scarsi sono i dati sui loro effetti. Il 22 Novembre 20112, un evento meteorico eccezionale ha colp…

Water and Flood Adaptation Education: from Theory to Practice

2021

The risk of flooding is the main natural hazard that affects the European region. This hazard has worsened in the recent decades due to the urban occupation of flood areas and the effects of climate change. Therefore, in Spain, interest in this subject is accentuated in the case of future teachers because this issue is mandatory to teach in primary education (grades 1–6; social sciences subject). The aims of this research are to explore the instruction about flooding received by future teachers during their school and university period and propose the instruction curricular activities to do in classroom (primary education). Methodologically, a questionnaire was distributed among future teac…

Uncertainty connected with design rainfall for urban flood risk evaluation

2010

Using an X-band radar for an urban area early flood warning system

2021

Floods represent a serious hazard in many areas of the world in terms of damage to properties and loss of life. For this reason, the European Floods Directive 2007/60/EC on the assessment and management of flood risk required the relevant bodies of the Member States to have adequate and efficient tools for assessing the flood risk of river basins and establishing flood risk management plans focused on prevention and protection of territory and people. The decision makers involved in flood defense often need some hydro-informatics tools to transform the flood forecast into relatively simple and clear messages that allow them to take prompt action to prevent and/or counteract the flood. From …

Ocena zagrożenia powodziowego w zlewni rzeki Biała Głuchołaska na terenie miasta Głuchołazy

2016

Uncertain Characterization of Flood Hazard Using Bivariate Analysis Based on Copulas

2015

This study presents a methodology to derive probabilistic flood hazard map in flood prone areas taking into account uncertainties in the definition of design-hydrographs. Particularly, we present an innovative approach to obtain probabilistic inundation and flood hazard maps where hydrological input (synthetic flood design event) to a 2D hydraulic model has been defined by generating flood peak discharges and volumes from a bivariate statistical analysis, through the use of copulas. This study also aims to quantify the contribution of boundary conditions uncertainty in order to explore the impact of this uncertainty on probabilistic flood hazard mapping. The uncertainty of extreme flood eve…

Estimation of synthetic flood design hydrographs using a distributed rainfall–runoff model coupled with a copula-based single storm rainfall generator

2014

Abstract. In this paper a procedure to derive synthetic flood design hydrographs (SFDH) using a bivariate representation of rainfall forcing (rainfall duration and intensity) via copulas, which describes and models the correlation between two variables independently of the marginal laws involved, coupled with a distributed rainfall–runoff model, is presented. Rainfall–runoff modelling (R–R modelling) for estimating the hydrological response at the outlet of a catchment was performed by using a conceptual fully distributed procedure based on the Soil Conservation Service – Curve Number method as an excess rainfall model and on a distributed unit hydrograph with climatic dependencies for the …

Projecting Exposure to Extreme Climate Impact Events Across Six Event Categories and Three Spatial Scales

2020

Summarization: The extent and impact of climate‐related extreme events depend on the underlying meteorological, hydrological, or climatological drivers as well as on human factors such as land use or population density. Here we quantify the pure effect of historical and future climate change on the exposure of land and population to extreme climate impact events using an unprecedentedly large ensemble of harmonized climate impact simulations from the Inter‐Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project phase 2b. Our results indicate that global warming has already more than doubled both the global land area and the global population annually exposed to all six categories of extreme events co…

Las representaciones del saber académico: Aportaciones desde la Geografía Escolar

2019

When we talk with basic education´s teachers there is an impression in the case of learning Social Sciences, and Geography in particular that these sciences are not useful for the explanation of socio-environmental and daily problems. In this research, improvement proposals are sought so that students are motivated to learn about these problems. Based on two case studies such as flood risks (and their relationship with climate change) and the problems of the rural areas, the possibilities of combining motivation for learning close to personal emotions and with their own rigor have been explored of the conceptual explanation. To validate these results, quantitative and qualitative research t…